Millwall vs Newcastle United
ENGLAND • LEAGUE CUP
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Over 2.5 @ 1.65
Probability
76.3%
Value Edge
15.69%
Selection
69.8
GPX
77
Confidence
HIGH
Odds
1.65
Scoreline Assessment
1-2
MATCH INSIGHT
1-2
Analysis — The numbers favour a goals-led approach in this fixture. The 4.01 expected goals give Over 2.5 solid support. The 1-2 projection also supports the pick. Value edge: +15.7%.
Scoreline — The modal scoreline supports the primary Over 2.5 selection.
- Newcastle United hold the stronger win probability at 65.4%, compared with 16.3% for the hosts.
- The visitors also lead on PPG and xG, creating a consistent away-side profile.
- Value edge: +15.7% on OVER 2.5.
- The modal score of 1-2 is consistent with the main selection.
OVER 1.5
Newcastle United or Draw (X2)